Several states could be in a position as early as Friday to start relaxing some restrictions imposed to slow the spread of the coronavirus, U.S. President Donald Trump said Thursday.
Trump said 29 states that he described on Wednesday as being in “good shape” could meet the criteria to be in Phase 1 under new guidelines called “Opening Up America Again,” which his White House coronavirus task force unveiled on Thursday. He declined to name those states and stressed the guidelines are there as a tool for individual governors.
“Healthy Americans will now be able to return to work as conditions on the ground allow instead of a blanket shutdown. We will pursue a focus on sheltering [in place] in the highest risk individuals,” he said, adding that it’s important to establish clear scientific benchmarks on testing new case growth and hospital capacity before advancing to each phase.
The guidelines outline a phased approach to restoring normal commerce and services, but only for places with strong testing and seeing a decrease in COVID-19 cases. They set out to clear the way for an easing of restrictions in areas with low transmission of the coronavirus, while keeping them in place in harder-hit locations.
WATCH | Trump leaves it to states to decide when to reopen:
Places with declining infections and strong testing would begin a three-phased gradual reopening of businesses and schools, with each phase lasting at least 14 days, meant to ensure that the virus outbreak doesn’t accelerate again.
Gradual loosening of restrictions
In Phase 1, for instance, the plan recommends strict physical distancing for all people in public. Gatherings larger than 10 people are to be avoided, and non-essential travel is discouraged.
In Phase 2, people are encouraged to maximize physical distancing where possible and limit gatherings to no more than 50 people unless precautionary measures are taken. Travel could resume.
Phase 3 envisions a return to normalcy for most Americans, with a focus on identification and isolation of any new infections.
Still, Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus task force co-ordinator, and Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s top infection diseases expert, said it would be a “new normal.”
But Trump pushed back, suggesting that people wanted to return to watch football games and fill restaurants. “That’s going to happen, and it’s going to be relatively quickly,” he predicted.
At earliest, the guidelines suggest that some parts of the country could see a resumption in normal commerce and social gatherings after a month of evaluating whether the easing of restrictions leads to a resurgence in virus cases. In other parts of the country or if virus cases resume an uptick, it could be substantially longer.
WATCH | How to physically distance without drastically changing your life:
‘Call your own shots’
Trump briefed the governors on the plan Thursday afternoon, saying they were going to be responsible for deciding when it is safe to lift restrictions in their states.
“You’re going to call your own shots. We’re going to be standing along side of you,” Trump told the governors, who have the primary responsibility for public health in their states.
Meanwhile, under the federal guidelines, those most susceptible to the respiratory disease would be advised to remain sheltered in place until their area enters the final phase — and even then are advised to take precautions to avoid close contact with other people.
The federal guidelines come after seven governors in the Midwest announced Thursday they will co-ordinate on reopening the economy, after similar pacts were announced earlier this week in the West and Northeast.
New task force
Trump held conference calls earlier Thursday with lawmakers he named to a new congressional advisory task force. The economic costs were clear in new federal data showing that at least 22 million Americans have been thrown out of work in the last month. But the legislators repeatedly urged the president not to sacrifice public health in an effort to reopen the economy.
“My highest priority on this task force will be to ensure the federal government’s efforts to reopen our economy are bipartisan, data-driven and based on the expertise of public health professionals,” said Democratic Sen. Mark Warner of Virginia.
Business leaders, too, raised concerns to the president in a round of calls Wednesday, warning that a dramatic increase in testing and wider availability of protective equipment will be necessary before they can safely revive operations.
The federal government envisions a gradual recovery from the virus, in which disruptive mitigation measures may be needed in some places at least until a vaccine is available — a milestone unlikely to be reached until sometime next year.
“It’s not going to immediately be a situation where we have stadiums full of people,” said Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson on Thursday. “We’re Americans. We will adapt.”
New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy said at a news conference before the call with the White House that he planned to ask the president for “direct cash assistance,” citing the state’s troubled tax revenues. He also said he would press for “robust health-care infrastructure” and mass testing with quick turnaround times before reopening the economy.
‘Past the peak’
Trump said Wednesday that data suggests the U.S. is “past the peak” of the COVID-19 epidemic. He said the numbers have “put us in a very strong position to finalize guidelines for states on reopening the country.”
Birx added that data from across the country showed the nation “improving,” but that Americans had to recommit to physical distancing to keep up the positive momentum.
She said nine states have fewer than 1,000 cases and just a few dozen new cases per day. She said those would likely be the first to see a lifting in distancing restrictions at the direction of their governors under the guidelines.
But participants in a Wednesday call with Trump that included executives of dozens of leading American companies raised concerns about the testing issue, according to one participant who spoke on condition of anonymity to describe the private discussion.
‘Economy will look very different’
Another participant said it was stressed to Trump that expansion of testing and contact tracing was crucial, as well as guidelines for best practices on reopening businesses in phases or in one fell swoop.
The participant said those on the call noted to the administration that there was about to be a rush on personal protective equipment. Many businesses that are now shuttered will need the protective equipment to keep their employees and customers safe.
Trump was told “the economy will look very different and operations will look very different,” one participant said.
South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, a Republican close to Trump, said the lack of widespread testing was an impediment to lifting the distancing guidelines. “We are struggling with testing at a large scale.,” he told ABC’s The View. “You really can’t go back to work until we have more tests.”
But some of Trump’s conservative allies, like economist Stephen Moore, have encouraged him to act swiftly, warning of “a mini-Great Depression if we keep the economy shut down.”
“That is a catastrophic outcome for our country. Period,” Moore said he advised the president. “We can’t have 30 million people in this country unemployed or you’re going to have social chaos.”
The panel, which Trump dubbed the new Great American Economic Revival Industry Groups, also could help give him a measure of cover. If cases surge once restrictions are lifted, as many experts have warned, Trump will be able to tell the public he didn’t act alone and the nation’s top minds — from manufacturing to defence to technology — helped shape the plan.